Is There Global Cooling?

(the antitheses of global warming)

Welcome. I will try to give you the answer to the question "is there global cooling?" As you are well aware there is a huge effort around the globe to counter the alleged impact of mankind on the world's climate. If in fact mankind will cause the seas to rise appreciably by causing CO2 induced global warming then certainly let's do something about it. But, what if global warming is not what they say it is? What if the world's temperature is headed in the opposite direction? Global temperatures increased for twenty years from the late 1970s to the late 1990s but have either stopped warming or have begun to cool in the last fifteen years. The global warming and subsequent cooling were even predictable due to hundreds of years of historical trends and observation of the impact of variations in solar activity on global temperature.

Did you know that in the past the Roman Period and Medieval Period were both several degrees warmer than today's temperature. The world then cooled at least four degrees from approx. 1450 to 1850. This period was called the Little Ice Age (a period of glacial advance, the same glaciers that have been in retreat until recently). These temperature variations were not caused by man. They were caused entirely by natural forces.

Quick facts about the U.S. and global climate, global cooling news

U.S. and global Temperatures are not warming

March '12 Oregon and Washington break all time March snowfall record link Bering Sea has second largest March ice extent on record link Record breaking March cold in Tasmania Australia link Huge snowfall in China kills 90,000 livestock and impacts 25,000 people link First quarter 2012 was very warm in the USA link

April '12 Sydney, coldest day in 80 years. link May '12 UK on track for coldest May in 200 years. link

June '12 Sweden has one of the coldest Junes since records began in 1789. link Rare cold in New Zealand. link Argentina agrigulture frosts lead to crisis link Seattle has third coldest June in history link

July '12, climate emergency in Argentina due to cold, a dozen freeze to death in Chile. Tasmania has record low temperatures. link August '12 South Africa, snows in all 9 provinces for first time in recorded history link September '12 Antarctic sea ice extent is largest ever recorded for this day, eighth highest record in history. link Antarctica sea ice area is the largest ever recorded on Sept 12, 2012 link

October '12 Earliest snow in Australia in a century. link Record cold grips part of Australia link Surprise October snow hits central Germany. link Heavy snow catches Muscovites unprepared. link For only the second time in recorded history do all the provinces of Austria have snow in October. link

Nov '12 early cold snap kills 14 in Poland. link Hurricane Sandy causes record snowfall in Appalachians. link Three tourists die from cold on Great Wall of China from early snow. link Winter hits early on three continents, global cooling? link Northeast USA has record snowfall. link Record snow around USA link Globe to be seized by record cold, UK faces coldest Winter in 100 years, Arctic sees record refreeze, snow in New Zealand link Connecting the global cooling dots..link

Dec '12 Russians near Moscos trapped for days on highway during snowstorm link, back-up over 125 miles long link UK has coldest Autumn since 1993 link European deef freeze killing hundreds. link Record snow in Norway, signs of global cooling? link Record snow in Minneapolis. Link State of emergency declared in Ukraine due to huge snows, more global cooling? link 37 dead in 24 hours in Ukraine freeze. link Russia faces strongst winter in decades, -50 deg. C temperatures, people freezing to death. link Severe global cooling grips Eastern Europe, over 600 die from cold, state of emergency declared in Siberia. link Dozens die in Polish global cooling snap link -61 deg F in Siberian global cooling link Massive cold front grips Asia. Link North India cold wave kills 25 link Brutally cold Russian winter claims 125 lives, so far. link Coldest Russian Winter in decades, snow up to 16 feet deep. link US has the most snow cover in ten years. link December 2012 had the largest Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent ever recorded. link

January '13 Asia gripped with record cold, hundreds dead. Bangladesh has coldest temperatures since 1960s. link Russia burried under snow link 29 die from cold in Mexico link Bermuda has record daily low temperature. link Over 300 die from brutal cold in Eastern Europe. link

February '13 New England snow could be one for the record books. link German winter temperatures are dropping at a rate of 6 dec C per century. link Alps cooling since 2000 (peer reviewed literature) link Record New England snows link Heaviest snowfall in a Century hits Moscow link Northern Hemisphere has all time low temperature link Japan has worst Winter snow in history. link Last 4 out of 5 Winters were cooler than normal. link Germany has darkest Winter in 43 years. link

March '13 Calcutta has coldest day in 100 years, record low temperatures link Winter 2012-2013 November-February ranked 4th largest for snow in history, #2 for Northern hemisphere, December '12 had most snow ever. link UK in deep freeze, deaths from cold mounting link Arctic sea ice largest in a decade link UK faxes gas rationing as shortages mount with coldest weather in 50 years link UK cold chaos link Second coldest March in USA since 1969 link Berlin has coldest March in 100 years. gripped by cold. link UK coldest Spring since 1963, claims 5,000 lives link Germany coldest Spring onrecord link Germany has late March temp of -33 Deg C, coldest temperature in over 100 years. link Climate models fail to predict brutally cold European temperatures link Thousands of animals burried alive in Ireland by snow drifts. link

April '13 Russian scientists say Earth will cool until 2050 and temperatures will decline 1.5 Deg C. link Baltic sea ice sets record for month of March. link Saskatchewan has coldest Spring in a century. link 40,000 livestock killed by snow in Ireland link

May '13 First May snow in Arkansas ever recorded. link Record snow storm hits midwest link Antarctic sea ice sets all time record ice extent for this day link Ice break up at Nenana Ice Classic in Alaska sets latest date in 97 years of records link Record late snow hits Newfoundland link Northern Hemisphere snow cover sets record for November-April time period link UK headed towards coldest spring in 30 years link Northeast USA gets up to 36 inches of snow during Memorial Day, Syracuse and Binghamton NY have latest snow on record link Geramany has coldest Spring since 1970 link 79% of USA temperatures are below average first five months of 2013 link Alaska has longest snow season on record link Vermont has latest snow since 1897 link

June '13 French ski resort on Spanish border to open in June for first time in history. link Coldest Spring in UK since 1891 link Capetown South Africa, earliest snow in many years causes emergency to be declared link

The best and most accurate way to measure global temperatures are from satellites that measure atmospheric temperatures. See how atmospheric temperatures have changed since the start of measurement in 1979 link

Though the 2011/12 Winter temperatures were warm in the U.S. global temps were the 11th coolest in 32 years of satelite measurement link

Total global polar sea ice extent is largely unchanged over the past 30 years

*When adding the sea ice volumes at both poles there is about the same ice as 30 years ago link. Antarctica has 90% of the world's ice and had the most sea ice ever recorded at the end of 2008, over one million square kilometers above the average maximum. The global sea ice extent today (combined sea ice at both Poles) is nearly the same as the average of the last 30 years according to NASA and NSIDC link link View today's Antarctic sea ice extent compared to the 1979-2007 average (National Snow and Ice Data Center) link link A strong storm in the Arctic during the late Summer of 2012 caused the Arctic ice area to shrink to a record low yet the ice is now expanding at a fast rate. The Berring Sea off Alaska in 2012 had the most ice area ever recorded. link The Antarctic sea ice extent in September 2009 is also growing and is 1 million square kilometers more than the previous year. In September 2012 Antarctica had the largest sea ice extent ever recorded link. View today's Arctic sea ice extent, NSIDC link DMI link

View todays Antarctic sea ice extent Univ. Illinois Cyrosphere link

2010 Antarctic ice extent was the third largest ever recorded. Average snowfall in Antarctica was the most ever recorded link

See current ice conditions in the Northern Hemisphere link and the Southern Hemisphere link Find out what really impact Artic sea ice melting. Link

Ocean temperatures are cooling

*NSIDC/NASA AMSR-E also shows that the overall trend of ocean temperatures since 2002 is one of cooling in spite of a recent short lived El Nino warming event link

The oceans have been cooling which is contrary to climate model predictions link See how Argo is measuring ocean temperatures throughout the globe link Argo research (with its 3,300 ocean buoys) has found ocean temperatures are cooler. link link

The PDO (Pacific) is moving towards a cool period (La Nina). See current ocean surface temperatures from the NOAA link link

Track mid Atlantic storm formation here, NOAA link

Global storms and their intensity are in decline

*The trend for violent tornadoes is in decline in the US link. U.S. landfall hurricanes are less numerous and powerful than decades ago. Global hurricane, typhoon, and cyclone activity are nearing 50 year lows according to Florida State University link Deaths from severe weather events are in decline link

Global cyclone activity is at 33 year lows at the end of the 2010 hurricane season. Pacific storms lowest since recording began in 1945. link

There have been few hurricanes to reach US shores in the past three years which is highly unusual link The U.S. went over 1,000 days in a row without a single hurricane strike.

Global hurricane (tornado) activity in 2010 was at the lowest level in three decades even though 2010 was a warm year overall link U.S. tornado activity in 2012 was at the lowest level ever recorded according to NOAA. link link Link

Polar Bear populations are of record size

Some say Polar Bears are threatened but there are more polar bears today than ever recorded, an increase of 300%+ since the 1950s. link link The scientific name for Polar bears is Ursus Maritimus, which means sea bear. Polar Bears are excellent swimmers and can swim 200 miles or more link. A Polar Bear with a radio tracking collar swam over 400 miles in 9 days and without rest link Polar bears have survived periods when the Arctic melted completely in the past (they moved to land). Polar bear face bright future link

Solar activity is in decline. This has led to cooler temperatures in the past

So what has changed? CO2 concentrations continue to increase yet temperatures have been falling since 2002? Polar ice is growing. Storm intensity is in decline. One reason may be that solar activity is at the lowest level in almost a Century. link link link See what the sun looks like with and without sunspots link In the past periods with fewer sunspots and lower solar activity were ones with cooler temperatures. It is believed by some scientists that lower solar activity increases cloud formation and this has a cooling effect. If the past is a predictor of the future, these changes in solar activity will cause a 30 year period of cooling temperatures on earth and in fact it appears that this has already begun. See solar activity charts here link

See the combined impact of ocean and solar cycles on global temperatures link

NASA recently announced that due to the expected multi decade continuation of low solar activity that global temperatures should continue to cool. How much will rising CO2 levels offset this? If the past is a predictor of the future, not much.

Europe, North America and many other areas of the Earth have recently experienced a score of unusually low temperatures. So where is the global warming that we are preparing for? Does anyone really think global warming causes global cooling?

Is a carbon cap and trade system that would raise hundreds of billions of dollars each year for the government necessary if in fact the slightly warmer temperatures of 1978-1998 were caused by natural forces such as the Sun's increased activity in that period, and that many scientists are now becoming skeptical of the theory of man made global warming (AGW)? link Is the re-engineering of society to reduce CO2 emissions necessary when in the geological history of the planet warming temperatures were never preceeded by rising CO2 levels? Did you know that if this country eliminates 100% of its CO2 emissions China will replace it within in 2 years due to their high growth rate? It appears to me that the man made global warming theory is looking more and more like the Y2K scare of the late 1990s.

If you have doubts about the conventional beliefs of global warming and want to learn more please do read on.

*the use of information on this website is unrestricted and can be reproduced without permission.

Author

Geoffrey Pohanka, June 2013

geoff@isthereglobalwarming.com

To see my presentation in a PDF file Part I Part II

p.s. If you want to see most of the concepts below about global warming in a single film, then watch this documentary link

Addendum to EPA report on climate change, important reading. link

If you want to understand what controls the global climate, then just take a look here. link 24 reasons why the global warming theory has failed link

Summary of why we are most likely headed toward a cooler world. link Great source for all the official stats link

U.S. Senate report, over 1,000 scientists come out against the man made global warming theory link

Climategate link Rex Murphy CBC link

Presentation of MIT Scientist Richard Lindzen before the UK Parliament in 2012 link

Climate thought starters

temperature

*For most of the past 10,000 years the earth was warmer than today's temperatures. link

*2000 years of global temperature data, note the current global warming starting in the mid 1700s, well before man started producing much CO2 link

*The warmest year ever recorded in the USA from 1900 until today was 1934 according to NASA link. The coldest, in the mid 1970s, a period when some scientists and most of the press said the earth was heading toward global cooling if not a return of glaciation. link

*In the 1970's many of the same scientists who today say that man is causing global warming, were claiming that man was causing a return of an ice age. link

*Warmest years in USA according to NASA. 1934 1998 1921 1906 1931 1999 1953 1990 1938 1939

*five of the ten warmest years since 1900 were before 1940!

*the warmest decade in the USA was the 1930s link

*US temperatures have only risen .2 degrees F from 1940!

*see how often state's have set temperature records since 1884 link

*24 of the 50 US States had their highest ever recorded temperature in the 1930s link

*Using just the US rural temperature data (not including temperature sensors near urban areas due to the urban heat island affect), today's US rural temperatures are cooler than those of the 1930's. (David Archibald)

*Global temperatures declined from 1945 through 1979, yet his was a period of rapid industrial expansion and increasing CO2 production throughout the world. If CO2 and temperatures are linked, why did temperatures fall? link

*year of continental record high temperatures:

Europe 1881
Australia 1889
South America 1905
Oceana 1912
North America 1913
Africa 1922
Asia 1942
Antartica 1974 link

*Global temperatures have declined in five of the last seven decades even though CO2 levels increased throughout this same period.

According to the 351 year temperature record for central England (CET) as maintained by the UK Met Office, England Summer temperatures in the 20th Century were cooler than those of the 18th Century link

*a survey of US weather stations shows that 80% of them are poorly maintained and located and have a warming bias of several degrees due to land use changes. link

*global temperatures mysteriously jumped when nearly 50% of all global weather stations (many in rural areas) stopped recording climate in the early 1990s. link

*global temperatures have not been warming since 2002 and are somewhat cooler link

*earths temperatures are not constant. There were 23 periods of cooling and warming in the past 500 years with the average cycle being 27 years long. There were two cooling and warming periods in the past 100 years alone. 1880-1915 was a period of cooling 1915-1945 was a period of warming 1945-1977 was a period of cooling 1977-1998 was a period of warming 1998-the present, it has been cooling, all related to changes in solar activity and the Pacific El Nino and La Nina cycles link

Global temperatures today are among the coolest in the last 500 million years link

*The yearly average number of sunspots per year from 1991 through 2007 were 1,361, (according to the S.I.D.C.). Through September of 2008, we are one pace for only 56 sunspots for the entire year. Where is the global warming?

*After the Medieval Period the world cooled 4 degrees centigrade, causing the "Little Ice Age". This was a period of glacial advance from the mid 1400's to mid 1800's. Then the world began to warm once again. Many of the glaciers that are now retreating were ones that grew during this "Little Ice Age".

*The fastest global temperature change ever recorded was from 1696 to 1732. Temperatures declined 2.2 degrees centigrade, which is 4 times the rate of temperature change and three times the speed of the .6 degree change in temperature of the hundred years of the 20th Century.

*while it is true that there has been some warming in the northern hemisphere in the last part of the 20th Century the southern hemisphere has shown no increase and has actually been cooling. link

*There has been some global warming in the second half of the 20th century but the temperature peaked in 1998 and it has been cooling since. Four of the five most active solar cycles since the 1600's were in this same period of warming. Active solar cycles historically have caused warming temperatures.

*The winter of 2007-2008 had the most snow cover in North America, Asia, and Siberia in over 60 years.

*China had its worst winter in over 50 years in the winter of 2007-2008 link

*Many areas of the world experienced a harsh winter in 2007-2008. Quite a few had record low temperatures and it snowed in Baghdad the first time in a century (link), and Saudia Arabia experienced the coldest temperatures in 20 years (link)

*Warming periods in earth's history have been ones where mankind has largely prospered due to higher crop yields. Cooling periods are ones where mankind has historically suffered, from lower crop yields, hunger, and disease.

If people had a choice between cooling and warming, wouldn't most chose warming?

*There was global warming in the late 20th Century (these temperatures are now falling). But it was no hotter than earlier periods, it was just less cold. The Summer's high temperatures were no warmer, the low temperatures were just not as low. The global warming was not on the high side of temperatures, it was on the low side of temperature ranges. (Patrick Michael)

*Land temperatures have increases (but this is probably the result of urban growth which have encroached on land based temperature sensors). Upper atmosphere and sea temperatures have not increased. If CO2 was causing the higher land temperatures the seas and upper atmosphere should also be warming, but they are not. (Patrick Michael)

*it was warmer in each of the last three interglacial periods than today link

CO2

*atmospheric CO2 levels are today among the lowest in the last 545 million years link

*The increase in CO2 as a percentage of the atmosphere since 1750 is only 1/10,000th, or (100ppm). link

*CO2 is a trace gas. It is less than 4/100ths of one percent of gases in the atmosphere.

*of the 186 billion tons of CO2 that enters into the atmosphere yearly only 3.2% is from human activity, the rest is from the oceans, volcanoes, and decaying plant matter.

*there was 15 times more CO2 in the atmosphere than today during the Ordovician-Sulurian glaciation, 5 times more during the Cretaceous-Jurassic glaciation, and more also during the Permain glaciation. link

*CO2 levels closely follow temperature link

*CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere have been as much as 25 times what they are today. Current CO2 concentrations are among the lowest in the past billion years. link

*atmospheric CO2 is generally much lower than most of the last 500 million years link link

*CO2 is a trace gas, it is less than 4/100's of 1% of all gases in the atmosphere. Of the 186 billion tons of CO2 that enters the earth's atmosphere every year only 6 billion tons are from human activity, the rest is from natural causes (decaying vegatation, volcanic activity, and the oceans). Man only contributes 3% of CO2 in the atmosphere. If CO2 truly caused global warming like they say it does there would have been a catastrophe long ago. link

*without greenhouse gases global temperatures would average 4 below zero F instead of the 59F we now enjoy.

*CO2 only makes up 1/10,000th more of the atmosphere than in 1750, an increase of 100ppm.

*There is very little CO2 in the air. Of each one million molecules in the atmosphere only 380 are CO2.

*The CO2 level in the atmosphere is 380 ppm. Before industrialization it was 270 ppm. CO2's increasing volume in the atmosphere has grown only 1/10,000th since the beginning of industrialization. Plant growth slows as CO2 levels below 220ppm and plants stop growing at CO2 levels of 150ppm. Man and animal life were near extinction due the lack of CO2

*water vapor makes up 95% of all greenhouse gases. CO2 is only 3.6% of greenhouse gases, and since man only contributes 3.2% of all CO2 into the atmosphere, less than 1% of all greenhouse gasses come from human activity. Dr. Michael R. Fox

*the oceans hold 50 times more CO2 than the atmosphere, and it is at equilibrium. If this rate continues atmospheric CO2 can not rise substantially because the sea will absorb most of it.

*people get sick at CO2 concentrations above 5,000ppm. There are no scenarios that CO2 will get anywhere near this high, no matter how much the CO2 is produced burning fossil fuels. Many say the high limit is 600 ppm, with nature absorbing the rest. Fossil fuels will run out before CO2 concentrations will get over this level.

*during one ice age the atmospheric CO2 was ten times the level of today. Clearly CO2 did not stop this ice age from occurring. Either CO2 doesn't have much impact on climate or the sun's reduced energy caused the ice age, or both.

*plants grow up to 50% faster with CO2 levels of 1000ppm. They grow 15% faster with today's level of CO2, which has led to higher crop production.

*Greenhouses use 1,000 PPM of CO2 to increase plant growth. Higher concentrations of CO2 increase crop production.

*Plants in arid regions of the earth need less water to grow due to higher concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere.

*the oceans hold 50 times more CO2 than the atmosphere. This CO2 is given up to the atmosphere as water warms and it absorbs more CO2 as it cools.

*today's atmospheric concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is among the lowest in the last 600 million years. Where is the global warming?

*There has only been a 1/10,000th increase in atmospheric CO2 since the beginning of the industrial age. It is hard to think that this small concentration will melt the worlds ice. Suppose CO2 dropped by an equal amount, would it cause an Ice Age? I don't think so! Where is the global warming?

*global CO2 concentrations in the late Ordovician Period were 12 times what they are today (4,400 ppm) yet this did not stop an ice age from occurring. Where is the global warming?

Polar Ice

*Antarctica's represents 90% of the world's ice and 70% of its fresh water. Antarctica's sea ice volume was the largest ever recorded in 2008.

*Antarctic sea ice extent in 2008 exceeded 1979 in ten of eleven months. Average ice extent was over 17% larger than in 1979. Sea ice thickness was also larger.

*While it is true there has been generally less Summer Arctic Sea Ice in the past two decades this loss has been entirely offset by the growth of ice in the Antarctic. When you combine both poles, there has been no net reduction in global ice! link

*The volume of Antarctic ice in 2008 was averaging one million square kilometers more than normal. Summer ice melt was 40% below the average. link

*There is evidence that the Artic sea ice completely melted at least four times before man first walked the earth. Tropical turtle fossils have been found in the Arctic, proving this area was once much warmer than today.

*Greenland's temperatures today are cooler than those of the 1940's link NASA GISS link

*recent studies have shown that winds have a larger impact on polar ice formation than does temperature. Changes in winds and sea currents at both poles have caused an increase in ice formation, even though there has not been significant temperature variation in this period. link

*The Winter of 2007-2008, had most ice between Greenland and Canada in 15 years. link

*If all the floating ice in the world melted, what would happen to the sea level? Answer: The sea would not rise but could go lower, since ice has more volume than water. The melting of floating sea ice can not raise sea levels, no matter how much ice there is. link

*If land based ice, such as the 650,000 cubic kilometers of ice on Greenland melted the seas would rise considerably. But, in even the worse case, only one tenth of one percent of Greenland's ice could possibly melt in the 21st century. It would 10,000 years or more to melt under the worst scenarios. (since most of Greenland is well below freezing much of the year, and most likely this melting would be interrupted by another Ice Age, don't worry, Greenland's ice won't melt like some say it will). link

*When the glaciers of the ice age melted the sea levels only rose one meter per century. If Greenland was to melt at the same rate today sea levels would only rise 4 inches per century according to Prof Morner. There is no possibility of coastal flooding from global warming. link

*There was considerable ice melt in Greenland during the Midieval warm period (this is when the Vikings colonized it), yet sea level did not rise higher than the sea level found today! How do we know this? The Tower of London was built at sea level in 1150 AD, the sea is the same level today as depicted in paintings from the time it was built. link

*The warmest temperatures ever recorded in Greenland were in the 1930's. link

*If all the land based ice melted, yes the seas would rise, but there would be about the same amount of livable land than there is today since Antarctica and Greenland would become habitable. (but don't worry, this won't happen).

Solar Impact

*Solar winds are at 50 year low according to NASA, who says that the sun's output is at the lowest level ever recorded by modern instruments (announced on 9/23/2008) link

*Solar activity as measured by the number of sunspots (RI), Solar Influences Data Analysis Center S.I.D.C., shows recent dramatic changes in the sun. From 1991 to 2007 the average yearly sunspot total was 1,099. In 2008 there were only 55.4 sunspots, a reduction of 95%. link

*solar Geomagnetic Ap Index is the lowest ever recorded, from the start of tracking in 1932. This correlates with past cooling. link

*Solar Cycle 23 which will soon be ending will be the longest solar cycle since 1796 and solar cycle 24, which is now beginning, will most likely be very weak. This is a strong indicator that the earth will be cooling and this period will last at least 30 years or more. (this is based on 250 years of observing the relationship between solar output and temperatures.)

*using temperature date from the mid 1700's and early 1800's until the present, the current solar activity should cause temperature declines up to 4 degrees from the high in 1998. The temperature increase in the 20th Century was only .6 degrees, so the expected cooling will be much more severe than the warming.

*There is a long and historic correlation between solar cycle length and global temperature. Short cycles have historically led to warming periods and longer cycles to cooling periods on earth. Solar cycle length has more impact on temperature than solar cycle amplitude (height). Solar cycles average 10.7 years in length but few are this long, most are either shorter than the average or longer. The solar cycles in the latter part of the 20th Century have been shorter ones, and thus the warming. 4 of the 5 shortest solar cycles since the 1600's were in the second half of the 20th century. But the current cycles are different. Cycle 23, which is now ending, is 12 years five months long (as of Oct 2008) and is likely to be well over 13 years long. The last time we had a solar cycle this long was 1796 when the world was plunged into the Dalton Minimum, a period of very cold temperatures between 1796 and 1830. The three solar cycles during that cold period were 13.6, 12.3, and 12.7 years long. If the past is a predictor of the future, solar cycle 23 and a weak solar cycle 24 will lead the world into another cold period similar to the Dalton Minimum. This period will last at least 30 years. S0 where is the global warming?

*Changes in atmospheric concentrations of CO2 has always followed changes in global temperatures and not visa versa. The Oceans are huge collectors of CO2, in warming periods they release CO2 to the atmosphere and in cooling periods the oceans absorb more CO2. Maybe warming caused by increased output from the sun has helped cause some of the higher concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere. A cooling earth will cause more CO2 to be absorbed by the oceans and may impact CO2 density in the atmosphere. Where is the global warming?

*This solar minimum is rather unusual. If we define a period of quiet sun as those months that produced an Ap index of 6 or less and compare the total number of quiet months within each solar minimum, then the results would be: Minimum Preceding Number of Months with Solar Cycle Ap Index of 6 or less
SC17 11 months
SC18 2 months
SC19 2 months
SC20 5 months
SC21 0 months
SC22 0 months
SC23 3 months
SC24 31 months and counting

Polar Bears

*The Polar Bear population is at a record high in 2008, five times more than in the 1950's. No matter how you count it, there are more polar bears today than at any time in recent memory.

*Over 600 polar bears are legally hunted every year.

*Polar Bears mate on land. Their favorite food besides seal meat is blueberries (also found on land).

*Polar bears, during the normal Summer Arctic ice melt, either migrate to land or further north where there is no melting.

*In the last 10,000 years Polar Bears have survived several warming periods when the Arctic had severe Summer melting, and most likely melted entirely.

*Polar Bear populations are thriving due to the abundance of seals, their primary food source. So long as seal populations thrive, so will the Polar Bears.

*the species name for Polar Bears is Ursus Maritimus, Latin for sea bear. Polar Bears are excellent swimmers and have been known to swim as far as 200 miles. link

Storms

*The number of hurricanes per year that hit the US 1901-1950 were 1.94, and only 1.41 from 1951-2001, 28% less. The 1901-1950 hurricanes were also more powerful on average. But property damage from coastal storms has increased due to over development, higher population density, and falling land levels such as at Galveston TX, where land has sunk over 4 feet due to settling and fossil fuel extraction. (Patrick Michael) Where is the global warming?

Ocean Acidification

*The oceans are not likely to become acidic from higher concentrations of CO2 anytime soon. It would take 3,500 years for the oceans to become even slightly acidic at current rates. link Where is the global warming?

*Coral reefs thrived during the Ordovician Era when there was ten times more CO2 in the atmosphere. They also thrived when global temperatures were +10C warmer than today. Where is the global warming?

Sea Level Rise

*the earth is in an interglacial period. It is normal for there to be some sea level rise, and there has been for 11,000 years link

Summary

*there has been global cooling for the past eight years as global temperatures have been declining

*There are signs of global cooling since there is a record amount of sea ice in Antarctica and temperatures have been declining in most of the continent for the last fifty years

*Solar activity is the lowest level of the space age. There are 400 years of solar records. Whenever the sun is less active there is global cooling. There is no deviation.

*There were three ice ages with more CO2 than today. CO2 does not have much impact on global temperatures, does not cause global warming or global cooling.

*The PDO has moved into a cool phase, which can lead to global cooling.

*If the past is a predictor of the future the earth is headed into a 30 year period of global cooling. Global cooling is much worse for mankind than global warming. Many more people die from the cold than heat. Crop yields will be reduced and global hunger increased from global cooling.

Conclusion

*"To get to the truth of what drives global climate one must first separate politics from science." Where is the global warming?

*with all the evidence above, doesn't the theory of global warming appear similar to the Y2k fear? Where is the global warming?

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geoff@isthereglobalwarming.com