Is There Global Cooling?

(the antitheses of global warming)

Welcome. There has now been over 18 years with very little atmospheric warming (with the exception of the recent El Nino from natural causes) and in spite of ever increasing amounts of CO2 link I will try to give you the answer to the question "is there global cooling?" As you are well aware there is a huge effort around the globe to counter the alleged impact of mankind on the world's climate. If in fact mankind will cause the seas to rise appreciably by causing CO2 induced global warming then certainly let's do something about it. But, what if the impact from rising CO2 levels will not have the same impact that many claim? Global temperatures increased for twenty years from the late 1970s to the late 1990s but have either stopped warming or have even begun to cool in the last eighteen years. The global warming and subsequent cooling were even predictable due to hundreds of years of historical trends and observation of the impact of variations in solar activity and ocean cycles on global temperatures.

CO2 levels are today, among the lowest in the past 600 million years.

CO2 levels were higher than today in 85% of the past 600 million years.

CO2 levels were as much as 20 times higher in the geological past.

CO2 levels were at least 5 times higher than today in the dinosaur period.

There were three ice ages with more CO2 than today, one had fifteen times more.

CO2 has never been observed in the geological record to be a driver of the climate, even when levels were significantly higher than today.

CO2, by itself, can not cause much warming. For there to be dangerous warming, other things must occur, which would accelerate the warming, called positive feedbacks. The most likely is increased atmospheric water vapor. Positive feedbacks have not been observed to exist in the past and when CO2 levels were signficiantly higher than today. Atmospheric humidity is also actually in decline. link

Global temperatures were mostly warmer than today in the prior 8,000 years, the Holocene. link

Did you know that in the past the Roman Period and Medieval Period were both warmer than today. The world then cooled several degrees from approx. 1450 to 1850. This period was called the Little Ice Age (a period of glacial advance, the same glaciers that have been in retreat until recently). Global temperatures the past 10,000 years were also often warmer than today.These temperature variations were not caused by man. They were caused entirely by natural forces.

See my FACEBOOK PAGE https://www.facebook.com/pages/Is-There-Global-Cooling/913105855421340

Or look at this Climate Change Truth File from CFACT link

Recommended videos

Myron Ebell, Trump EPA transition chief, explains what comes next for the EPA, Paris Climate Accord, Clean Power Plan, etc link

Nobel winning Physicist Dr. Ivar Giaever explains why global warming isnt a problem. link

Dr Don Easterbrook's comprehensive presentation on why man made global warming isnt a big problem. link

See Dr William Happer, the myth of carbon pollution link

Global warming swindle link

Henrik Svensmark, clouds control the climate link

State of the Climate Report, 2016 UN Morocco Conference, link

Why life on Earth almost perished due to too little CO2 link

The skeptics case in 12 minutes. Absent feedbacks CO2 can not cause dangerous warming link

Most global warming has been fabricated by making early 20th century temperatures cooler and more recent temperatures warmer link

There has been no measurable atmospheric global warming for over 18 years.

RSS satellite data of atmospheric temperatures shows no increase in over 18 years link link.Temperatures in the past 12 years which include atmospheric and surface stations have actually cooled somewhat.

Total global polar sea ice is largely unchanged over the past 35 years. Antarctic sea ice set all time record for size in September 2014!!

NASA announces that Antarctica has been adding between 85,000,000,000 and 135,000,000,000 tons of new ice every year since 1993. Since 90% of Earth's glaciers are in Antarctica, this means that global glaciers are growing, not melting. link

*When adding the sea ice volumes at both poles there is about the same ice as 35 years ago when measurement by satellite began link. The global sea ice in January 2014 was 17,932,000 km², which is the highest ever recorded during January in the satellite era. Antarctica has 90% of the world's ice and had the most sea ice ever recorded in Septermber 2014. link According to a 2012 NASA report Antarctic ice mass is also increasing link. View today's Antarctic sea ice extent compared to the 1979-2007 average (National Snow and Ice Data Center) link link A strong storm in the Arctic during the late Summer of 2012 caused the Arctic ice area to shrink to a record low yet the ice is now expanding at a fast rate. The Berring Sea off Alaska in 2012 had the most ice area ever recorded. link . In September 2013 Antarctica broke another record and had the largest sea ice extent ever recorded link. View today's Arctic sea ice extent, NSIDC link DMI link

The 2014 Arctic ice extent in September 2014 is nearly 2,000,000 sq kilometers larger than just two years prior. link Daily Arctic sea ice thickness link

View todays Antarctic sea ice extent Univ. Illinois Cyrosphere link

See current ice conditions in the Northern Hemisphere link and the Southern Hemisphere link Water temperature and currents and not air temperature is the largest driver of Arctic ice extent, learn why. Link

According to the Danish Meteorological Institute Greenland has been adding ice since 1993. link Greenland ice mass is expanding link

Ocean temperatures are not warming

*NSIDC/NASA AMSR-E also shows that the overall trend of ocean temperatures since 2002 is one of cooling in spite of a recent short lived El Nino warming event link

The oceans have been cooling which is contrary to climate model predictions link See how Argo is measuring ocean temperatures throughout the globe link Argo research (with its 3,300 ocean buoys) has found ocean temperatures are cooler. link link

The PDO (Pacific) is moving towards a cool period (La Nina). See current ocean surface temperatures from the NOAA link link

Track mid Atlantic storm formation here, NOAA link

It is impossible for the 'missing heat' to be found deep in the oceans, temperatures of the lower oceans are very cold and it takes hundreds, if not thousands of years, for deep ocean water to mix with ocean water near the surface. Southern Hemispheric deep ocean water is as cold as 1 deg C so there isnt any missing heat at depth.

PDO link AMO link

Sea level has been rising for the past 20,000 years, the rate is not increasing.

Sea level has been rising for over 20,000 years since the end of the last ice period of the ice ages. link The rate of rise is not increasing. link link link The rate of sea level rise is connected with solar activity. With the weakest solar activity in nearly two centuries some expect sea level to begin to drop, partly because of reduced solar expansion. link

Global storms and their energy are in decline

The 2013 Atlantic hurricane season was the second slowest in 30 years, and with no major hurricanes forming, the least since 1994 according to NOAA link

U.S. landfall hurricanes are less numerous and powerful than decades ago. Global hurricane, typhoon, and cyclone activity are nearing 50 year lows according to Weatherbell Analytics link link

Deaths from severe weather events are in declinelink

*The trend for violent tornadoes is in decline in the U.S. which had the fewest tornadoes ever recorded in 2013. link

Global cyclone activity is at 33 year lows at the end of the 2010 hurricane season. Pacific storms are the fewest since recording began in 1945. link

There have been few hurricanes to reach US shores in the past three years which is highly unusual link The U.S. went over 1,000 days in a row without a single hurricane strike.

Studies have shown that coastal storm damage as a percentage of U.S. GDP has been in decline and in spite of their being more and expensive coastal development.

Polar Bear populations are of record size.

Study shows Polar Bear populations have not been harmed by a reduction in Arctic ice. link link Some say Polar Bears are threatened but there are more polar bears today than ever recorded, an increase of 300%+ since the 1950s. link link The scientific name for Polar bears is Ursus Maritimus, which means sea bear. Polar Bears are excellent swimmers and can swim 200 miles or more link. A Polar Bear with a radio tracking collar swam over 400 miles in 9 days and without rest link Polar bears have survived periods when the Arctic melted completely in the past (they moved to land). Polar bear face bright future link See why the reduction in Arctic ice has actually had a beneficial impact on Polar Bears. link

Solar energy is in decline. This has led to cooler temperatures in the past

So what has changed? CO2 concentrations continue to increase yet temperatures have been falling since 2002? Polar ice is growing. Storm intensity is in decline. One reason may be that solar activity is at the lowest level in almost a Century. link link link In the past periods with fewer sunspots and lower solar activity were ones with cooler temperatures. It is believed by some scientists such as Danish Henrik Svensmark that lower solar activity increases cloud formation and this has a cooling effect. If the past is a predictor of the future, these changes in solar activity will cause a 30 year period of cooling temperatures on earth and in fact it appears that this has already begun. See solar activity charts here link See the BBC report, Is our Sun falling silent. link

No one disagrees that the planet did warm in the 20th Century and that temperatures increased in the 1980s and 1990s. Is the increase related to solar activity. The prestigious Max Planck Institute in Germany believes they may be a connection, since solar activity was in the 1980s and 1990s the strongest in over 8,000 years. link

It is clear there is a strong relationship between ocean surface temperatures and cycles Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and atmopsheric temperatures. It appears solar activity drives ocean cycles which in turn influence global temperatures. See the combined impact of ocean and solar cycles on global temperatures link

NASA recently announced that due to the expected multi decade continuation of low solar activity that global temperatures should continue to cool. How much will rising CO2 levels offset this? If the past is a predictor of the future, not much.

There is no consensus of scientists in support of the man made global warming theory.

Consensus is a political term, not a scientific one. Science is not supposed to have consensus. With consensus discovery stops. Many of the great sceintific discoveries went against the medical consensus of the time. link This list of over 1,000 internationally recognized scientists who have come out against the man made global warming theory speak in terms of their own areas of scientific knowledge, and is proof there is no consensus on this issue. Link Here is a list of 1,350 peer reviewed scientific papers that disagree with the man made global warming alarmism. link The AGW consensus has been thoroughly debunked link

Over 1,000 references to global cooling. link

Global Cooling

The best and most accurate way to measure global temperatures are from satellites that measure atmospheric temperatures. See how atmospheric temperatures have changed since the start of measurement in 1979 link

Europe, North America and many other areas of the Earth have recently experienced a score of unusually low temperatures. So where is the global warming that we are preparing for? Does anyone really believe that global warming causes global cooling?

As the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans move into their cold dominated multi decadal phase, with solar activity being the lowest in almost two centuries, and the potential for a large north hemispheric volcanic eruption, such as Katla or Bárðarbunga in Icelend, there is a potential for early and late frosts and major disruptions to global agriculture as well as air travel.

Is a carbon cap and trade system that would raise hundreds of billions of dollars each year for the government necessary if in fact the slightly warmer temperatures of 1978-1998 were caused by natural forces such as the Sun's increased activity in that period, and that many scientists are now becoming skeptical of the theory of man made global warming (AGW)? Is the re-engineering of society to reduce CO2 emissions necessary when in the geological history of the planet warming temperatures were never preceeded by rising CO2 levels? Did you know that if this country eliminates 100% of its CO2 emissions China will replace it within in 2 years due to their high growth rate? It appears to me that the man made global warming theory is looking more and more like the Y2K scare of the late 1990s. Perhaps we are seeing a Climate-Industrial Complex.

There are two billion people on this planet that do not have access to reliable electricity and they want it. Who are we to try to stop them? The rapidly increasing global population is mostly in third world countries. If they can modernize then birth rates would drop. As the undeveloped world develops....their CO2 emmissions can only increase. If the AGW theory is in fact true, the only alternative would be for man to adjust to the change, rather than try to stop it.

*the use of information on this website is unrestricted and can be reproduced without permission.

Author

Geoffrey Pohanka, July 2017

Email me:

gpohanka@pohanka.com

To see my presentation in a PDF file Part I Part II

p.s. If you want to see most of the concepts below about global warming in a single film, then watch this documentary link link

Addendum to EPA report on climate change Dr. Alen Carlin, important reading. link

If you want to understand what controls the global climate, then just take a look here. link 24 reasons why the global warming theory has failed link

Summary of why we are most likely headed toward a cooler world. link Great source for all the official stats link Many scientists now predicting decades of global cooling. link

Climategate link Rex Murphy CBC link

Presentation of MIT Scientist Richard Lindzen before the UK Parliament in 2012 link

Climate trends in a few slides: link

Climate thought starters

temperature

*For most of the past 10,000 years the earth was warmer than today's temperatures. link

*2000 years of global temperature data, note the current global warming starting in the mid 1700s, well before man started producing much CO2 link

*The warmest year ever recorded in the USA from 1900 until today was 1934 according to NASA link. The coldest, in the mid 1970s, a period when some scientists and most of the press said the earth was heading toward global cooling if not a return of glaciation. link

*In the 1970's many of the same scientists who today say that man is causing global warming, were claiming that man was causing a return of an ice age. link

*Warmest years in USA according to NASA. 1934 1998 1921 1906 1931 1999 1953 1990 1938 1939

*five of the ten warmest years since 1900 were before 1940!

*the warmest decade in the USA was the 1930s link

*US temperatures have only risen .2 degrees F from 1940!

*see how often state's have set temperature records since 1884 link

*24 of the 50 US States had their highest ever recorded temperature in the 1930s link

*Using just the US rural temperature data (not including temperature sensors near urban areas due to the urban heat island affect), today's US rural temperatures are cooler than those of the 1930's. (David Archibald)

*Global temperatures declined from 1945 through 1979, yet his was a period of rapid industrial expansion and increasing CO2 production throughout the world. If CO2 and temperatures are linked, why did temperatures fall? link

*year of continental record high temperatures:

Europe 1881
Australia 1889
South America 1905
Oceana 1912
North America 1913
Africa 1922
Asia 1942
Antartica 1974 link

*Global temperatures have declined in five of the last seven decades even though CO2 levels increased throughout this same period.

According to the 351 year temperature record for central England (CET) as maintained by the UK Met Office, England Summer temperatures in the 20th Century were cooler than those of the 18th Century link

*a survey of US weather stations shows that 80% of them are poorly maintained and located and have a warming bias of several degrees due to land use changes. link

*global temperatures mysteriously jumped when nearly 50% of all global weather stations (many in rural areas) stopped recording climate in the early 1990s. link

*global temperatures have not been warming since 2002 and are somewhat cooler link

*earths temperatures are not constant. There were 23 periods of cooling and warming in the past 500 years with the average cycle being 27 years long. There were two cooling and warming periods in the past 100 years alone. 1880-1915 was a period of cooling 1915-1945 was a period of warming 1945-1977 was a period of cooling 1977-1998 was a period of warming 1998-the present, it has been cooling, all related to changes in solar activity and the Pacific El Nino and La Nina cycles link

Global temperatures today are among the coolest in the last 500 million years link

*The yearly average number of sunspots per year from 1991 through 2007 were 1,361, (according to the S.I.D.C.). Through September of 2008, we are one pace for only 56 sunspots for the entire year. Where is the global warming?

*After the Medieval Period the world cooled 4 degrees centigrade, causing the "Little Ice Age". This was a period of glacial advance from the mid 1400's to mid 1800's. Then the world began to warm once again. Many of the glaciers that are now retreating were ones that grew during this "Little Ice Age".

*The fastest global temperature change ever recorded was from 1696 to 1732. Temperatures declined 2.2 degrees centigrade, which is 4 times the rate of temperature change and three times the speed of the .6 degree change in temperature of the hundred years of the 20th Century.

*while it is true that there has been some warming in the northern hemisphere in the last part of the 20th Century the southern hemisphere has shown no increase and has actually been cooling. link

*There has been some global warming in the second half of the 20th century but the temperature peaked in 1998 and it has been cooling since. Four of the five most active solar cycles since the 1600's were in this same period of warming. Active solar cycles historically have caused warming temperatures.

*The winter of 2007-2008 had the most snow cover in North America, Asia, and Siberia in over 60 years.

*China had its worst winter in over 50 years in the winter of 2007-2008 link

*Many areas of the world experienced a harsh winter in 2007-2008. Quite a few had record low temperatures and it snowed in Baghdad the first time in a century (link), and Saudia Arabia experienced the coldest temperatures in 20 years (link)

*Warming periods in earth's history have been ones where mankind has largely prospered due to higher crop yields. Cooling periods are ones where mankind has historically suffered, from lower crop yields, hunger, and disease.

If people had a choice between cooling and warming, wouldn't most chose warming?

*There was global warming in the late 20th Century (these temperatures are now falling). But it was no hotter than earlier periods, it was just less cold. The Summer's high temperatures were no warmer, the low temperatures were just not as low. The global warming was not on the high side of temperatures, it was on the low side of temperature ranges. (Patrick Michael)

*Land temperatures have increases (but this is probably the result of urban growth which have encroached on land based temperature sensors). Upper atmosphere and sea temperatures have not increased. If CO2 was causing the higher land temperatures the seas and upper atmosphere should also be warming, but they are not. (Patrick Michael)

*it was warmer in each of the last three interglacial periods than today link

CO2

*atmospheric CO2 levels are today among the lowest in the last 545 million years link

*The increase in CO2 as a percentage of the atmosphere since 1750 is only 1/10,000th, or (100ppm). link

*CO2 is a trace gas. It is less than 4/100ths of one percent of gases in the atmosphere.

*of the 186 billion tons of CO2 that enters into the atmosphere yearly only 3.2% is from human activity, the rest is from the oceans, volcanoes, and decaying plant matter.

*there was 15 times more CO2 in the atmosphere than today during the Ordovician-Sulurian glaciation, 5 times more during the Cretaceous-Jurassic glaciation, and more also during the Permain glaciation. link

*CO2 levels closely follow temperature link

*CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere have been as much as 25 times what they are today. Current CO2 concentrations are among the lowest in the past billion years. link

*atmospheric CO2 is generally much lower than most of the last 500 million years link link

*CO2 is a trace gas, it is less than 4/100's of 1% of all gases in the atmosphere. Of the 186 billion tons of CO2 that enters the earth's atmosphere every year only 6 billion tons are from human activity, the rest is from natural causes (decaying vegatation, volcanic activity, and the oceans). Man only contributes 3% of CO2 in the atmosphere. If CO2 truly caused global warming like they say it does there would have been a catastrophe long ago. link

*without greenhouse gases global temperatures would average 4 below zero F instead of the 59F we now enjoy.

*CO2 only makes up 1/10,000th more of the atmosphere than in 1750, an increase of 100ppm.

*There is very little CO2 in the air. Of each one million molecules in the atmosphere only 380 are CO2.

*The CO2 level in the atmosphere is 380 ppm. Before industrialization it was 270 ppm. CO2's increasing volume in the atmosphere has grown only 1/10,000th since the beginning of industrialization. Plant growth slows as CO2 levels below 220ppm and plants stop growing at CO2 levels of 150ppm. Man and animal life were near extinction due the lack of CO2

*water vapor makes up 95% of all greenhouse gases. CO2 is only 3.6% of greenhouse gases, and since man only contributes 3.2% of all CO2 into the atmosphere, less than 1% of all greenhouse gasses come from human activity. Dr. Michael R. Fox

*the oceans hold 50 times more CO2 than the atmosphere, and it is at equilibrium. If this rate continues atmospheric CO2 can not rise substantially because the sea will absorb most of it.

*people get sick at CO2 concentrations above 5,000ppm. There are no scenarios that CO2 will get anywhere near this high, no matter how much the CO2 is produced burning fossil fuels. Many say the high limit is 600 ppm, with nature absorbing the rest. Fossil fuels will run out before CO2 concentrations will get over this level.

*during one ice age the atmospheric CO2 was ten times the level of today. Clearly CO2 did not stop this ice age from occurring. Either CO2 doesn't have much impact on climate or the sun's reduced energy caused the ice age, or both.

*plants grow up to 50% faster with CO2 levels of 1000ppm. They grow 15% faster with today's level of CO2, which has led to higher crop production.

*Greenhouses use 1,000 PPM of CO2 to increase plant growth. Higher concentrations of CO2 increase crop production.

*Plants in arid regions of the earth need less water to grow due to higher concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere.

*the oceans hold 50 times more CO2 than the atmosphere. This CO2 is given up to the atmosphere as water warms and it absorbs more CO2 as it cools.

*today's atmospheric concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is among the lowest in the last 600 million years. Where is the global warming?

*There has only been a 1/10,000th increase in atmospheric CO2 since the beginning of the industrial age. It is hard to think that this small concentration will melt the worlds ice. Suppose CO2 dropped by an equal amount, would it cause an Ice Age? I don't think so! Where is the global warming?

*global CO2 concentrations in the late Ordovician Period were 12 times what they are today (4,400 ppm) yet this did not stop an ice age from occurring. Where is the global warming?

Polar Ice

*Antarctica's represents 90% of the world's ice and 70% of its fresh water. Antarctica's sea ice volume was the largest ever recorded in 2008.

*Antarctic sea ice extent in 2008 exceeded 1979 in ten of eleven months. Average ice extent was over 17% larger than in 1979. Sea ice thickness was also larger.

*While it is true there has been generally less Summer Arctic Sea Ice in the past two decades this loss has been entirely offset by the growth of ice in the Antarctic. When you combine both poles, there has been no net reduction in global ice! link

*The volume of Antarctic ice in 2008 was averaging one million square kilometers more than normal. Summer ice melt was 40% below the average. link

*There is evidence that the Artic sea ice completely melted at least four times before man first walked the earth. Tropical turtle fossils have been found in the Arctic, proving this area was once much warmer than today.

*Greenland's temperatures today are cooler than those of the 1940's link NASA GISS link

*recent studies have shown that winds have a larger impact on polar ice formation than does temperature. Changes in winds and sea currents at both poles have caused an increase in ice formation, even though there has not been significant temperature variation in this period. link

*The Winter of 2007-2008, had most ice between Greenland and Canada in 15 years. link

*If all the floating ice in the world melted, what would happen to the sea level? Answer: The sea would not rise but could go lower, since ice has more volume than water. The melting of floating sea ice can not raise sea levels, no matter how much ice there is. link

*If land based ice, such as the 650,000 cubic kilometers of ice on Greenland melted the seas would rise considerably. But, in even the worse case, only one tenth of one percent of Greenland's ice could possibly melt in the 21st century. It would 10,000 years or more to melt under the worst scenarios. (since most of Greenland is well below freezing much of the year, and most likely this melting would be interrupted by another Ice Age, don't worry, Greenland's ice won't melt like some say it will). link

*When the glaciers of the ice age melted the sea levels only rose one meter per century. If Greenland was to melt at the same rate today sea levels would only rise 4 inches per century according to Prof Morner. There is no possibility of coastal flooding from global warming. link

*There was considerable ice melt in Greenland during the Midieval warm period (this is when the Vikings colonized it), yet sea level did not rise higher than the sea level found today! How do we know this? The Tower of London was built at sea level in 1150 AD, the sea is the same level today as depicted in paintings from the time it was built. link

*The warmest temperatures ever recorded in Greenland were in the 1930's. link

*If all the land based ice melted, yes the seas would rise, but there would be about the same amount of livable land than there is today since Antarctica and Greenland would become habitable. (but don't worry, this won't happen).

Solar Impact

*Solar winds are at 50 year low according to NASA, who says that the sun's output is at the lowest level ever recorded by modern instruments (announced on 9/23/2008) link

*Solar activity as measured by the number of sunspots (RI), Solar Influences Data Analysis Center S.I.D.C., shows recent dramatic changes in the sun. From 1991 to 2007 the average yearly sunspot total was 1,099. In 2008 there were only 55.4 sunspots, a reduction of 95%. link

*solar Geomagnetic Ap Index is the lowest ever recorded, from the start of tracking in 1932. This correlates with past cooling. link

*Solar Cycle 23 which will soon be ending will be the longest solar cycle since 1796 and solar cycle 24, which is now beginning, will most likely be very weak. This is a strong indicator that the earth will be cooling and this period will last at least 30 years or more. (this is based on 250 years of observing the relationship between solar output and temperatures.)

*using temperature date from the mid 1700's and early 1800's until the present, the current solar activity should cause temperature declines up to 4 degrees from the high in 1998. The temperature increase in the 20th Century was only .6 degrees, so the expected cooling will be much more severe than the warming.

*There is a long and historic correlation between solar cycle length and global temperature. Short cycles have historically led to warming periods and longer cycles to cooling periods on earth. Solar cycle length has more impact on temperature than solar cycle amplitude (height). Solar cycles average 10.7 years in length but few are this long, most are either shorter than the average or longer. The solar cycles in the latter part of the 20th Century have been shorter ones, and thus the warming. 4 of the 5 shortest solar cycles since the 1600's were in the second half of the 20th century. But the current cycles are different. Cycle 23, which is now ending, is 12 years five months long (as of Oct 2008) and is likely to be well over 13 years long. The last time we had a solar cycle this long was 1796 when the world was plunged into the Dalton Minimum, a period of very cold temperatures between 1796 and 1830. The three solar cycles during that cold period were 13.6, 12.3, and 12.7 years long. If the past is a predictor of the future, solar cycle 23 and a weak solar cycle 24 will lead the world into another cold period similar to the Dalton Minimum. This period will last at least 30 years. S0 where is the global warming?

*Changes in atmospheric concentrations of CO2 has always followed changes in global temperatures and not visa versa. The Oceans are huge collectors of CO2, in warming periods they release CO2 to the atmosphere and in cooling periods the oceans absorb more CO2. Maybe warming caused by increased output from the sun has helped cause some of the higher concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere. A cooling earth will cause more CO2 to be absorbed by the oceans and may impact CO2 density in the atmosphere. Where is the global warming?

*This solar minimum is rather unusual. If we define a period of quiet sun as those months that produced an Ap index of 6 or less and compare the total number of quiet months within each solar minimum, then the results would be: Minimum Preceding Number of Months with Solar Cycle Ap Index of 6 or less
SC17 11 months
SC18 2 months
SC19 2 months
SC20 5 months
SC21 0 months
SC22 0 months
SC23 3 months
SC24 31 months and counting

Polar Bears

*The Polar Bear population is at a record high in 2008, five times more than in the 1950's. No matter how you count it, there are more polar bears today than at any time in recent memory.

*Over 600 polar bears are legally hunted every year.

*Polar Bears mate on land. Their favorite food besides seal meat is blueberries (also found on land).

*Polar bears, during the normal Summer Arctic ice melt, either migrate to land or further north where there is no melting.

*In the last 10,000 years Polar Bears have survived several warming periods when the Arctic had severe Summer melting, and most likely melted entirely.

*Polar Bear populations are thriving due to the abundance of seals, their primary food source. So long as seal populations thrive, so will the Polar Bears.

*the species name for Polar Bears is Ursus Maritimus, Latin for sea bear. Polar Bears are excellent swimmers and have been known to swim as far as 200 miles. link

Storms

*The number of hurricanes per year that hit the US 1901-1950 were 1.94, and only 1.41 from 1951-2001, 28% less. The 1901-1950 hurricanes were also more powerful on average. But property damage from coastal storms has increased due to over development, higher population density, and falling land levels such as at Galveston TX, where land has sunk over 4 feet due to settling and fossil fuel extraction. (Patrick Michael) Where is the global warming?

Ocean Acidification

*The oceans are not likely to become acidic from higher concentrations of CO2 anytime soon. It would take 3,500 years for the oceans to become even slightly acidic at current rates. link Where is the global warming?

*Coral reefs thrived during the Ordovician Era when there was ten times more CO2 in the atmosphere. They also thrived when global temperatures were +10C warmer than today. Where is the global warming?

Sea Level Rise

*the earth is in an interglacial period. It is normal for there to be some sea level rise, and there has been for 11,000 years link

Summary

*there has been global cooling for the past eight years as global temperatures have been declining

*There are signs of global cooling since there is a record amount of sea ice in Antarctica and temperatures have been declining in most of the continent for the last fifty years

*Solar activity is the lowest level of the space age. There are 400 years of solar records. Whenever the sun is less active there is global cooling. There is no deviation.

*There were three ice ages with more CO2 than today. CO2 does not have much impact on global temperatures, does not cause global warming or global cooling.

*The PDO has moved into a cool phase, which can lead to global cooling.

*If the past is a predictor of the future the earth is headed into a 30 year period of global cooling. Global cooling is much worse for mankind than global warming. Many more people die from the cold than heat. Crop yields will be reduced and global hunger increased from global cooling.

Conclusion

*"To get to the truth of what drives global climate one must first separate politics from science." Where is the global warming?

*with all the evidence above, doesn't the theory of global warming appear similar to the Y2k fear? Where is the global warming?

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geoff@isthereglobalwarming.com